Hey all. I’m a forum lurker but wanted to get some thoughts. Throughout the fall and winter I was very consistent and growing my bank roll by tailing some really good guys with college basketball primarily. Now that we are in the spring the same knowledge for that sport doesn’t seem to exist as much with baseball. Baseball is my personal favorite sport. I have never at all considered myself a handicapper of any sort but I have limited resources as far as Who to tail this time of year.
The last few days I have been looking at pitching matchup‘s and situations without looking at the money line. When I spot value regardless of how bad a team is I would be backing it seems to of been winning so far. For example, I had the Mariners as a huge dog against Carlos Carrasco yesterday. For no reason other than the Indians were just laying way too large of a number. The picks I made today are currently winning as well. I guess what I am wondering is, as much as baseball is an analytics game and I love sabermetrics, is there something to purely looking at values? Even taking the Marlins against Kershaw if you are getting 3 to 1. It just makes sense to do so.
Would like to hear thoughts on this. Thanks