Tampa Winter 2018/Spring 2019


#81

Correction to race 5 above. Go To Win is the #1. Should read:

Race 5
$20 win #1 Go to Win
$2 Ex 1/ALL
$2 DD 1/3


#82

Thought the Granitz horse in race 6 would get hammered. It didn’t so:

Race 6
$20 win #3 And Won
$2 Ex 3/ALL


#83

Sun 2/3/19

Race 1
$20 win #7 Babie Monster 8-1
$2 exbx 5-7
$2 DD 5,7/1
$1 P3 5,7//1/ALL
Arboritanza, third start of meet. His go-to angle needs to start clicking.

Race 2
$20 win #1 Aurea Aura 4-1
Granitz is having his usual steady meet. I should’ve been cashing in all along on his cheapies instead of swinging for the fences. Would be in much better shape.

Race 6
$20 win #4 Jersey Street 6-1
$2 exbx 4-6
.50c tri 4,6/ALL/4,6

Aldana Gonzalez looks like she’s about to go on a run, as her horses are running great all of a sudden. I’ll stay on board, despite Spieth.

I’ll update the scoreboard in a bit.


#84

Updated record, not including today:

9-90, -$1621


#85

One step forward, two steps back.

9-93, -$1712


#86

Wed 2/6/19

Race 1
$1 P3 7/1/1,3,5,8
$2 DD 7/1

Race 2
$20 win #1 Mancora 12-1
$2 DD 1/1,3,5,8
Might’ve missed the boat with this Ochoa bomber already. Won a couple weeks ago at an astounding 71-1, only to be DQ’d to sixth. Glad I wasn’t playing that day, would’ve needed to replace a TV. Hope that wasn’t Ochoa’s only live one.

Race 3
$20 win #3 Inca Princess 6-1
$2 exbx 3/1,5,8
Was torn between Lichoa’s two entrants, but really want to focus on the ones formally trained by Gotera. Unfortunately that’s his lower priced entrant. Oh well, gotta stick to the plan.

Race 8
$20 win #3 Hot Toddy 15-1
$2 exbx 1-3
.50c tri 1,3/ALL/1,3
Arboritanza third time over, stretching out. Two previously dependable angles that haven’t done $hit this meet. Hope it changes at a big price.

Lichoa has one in the finale at 5/2. Will monitor and hope for a drift.

9-93, -$1712


#87

I had lunch with a guy yesterday and he is a big horse guy… He goes up and down like a yoyo… he could be down 60k and then hits a couple at good odds and then back up… His personality changes on race results…

He does have discipline will go to the track and only bet 2 or 3 horses…

When he is up he buys silver bars to store his wins. That way he builds wealth but can’t easily sell if he has a sure thing and wants to go all in… Has 3 6 foot high safes full and ready for a 4th so he can’t be that crazy…

Just sharing as he is a funny guy with some great track stories


#88

I like the silver bar idea. Keep these stories coming. Love them.


#89

Friday 2/8/19

First post at 12:43. Who picks these times??

Race 1
$20 win #5 Lady Freedom 8-1
$2 exbx 5-6
Lichoa entrant. Hasn’t been under the care of Gotera in the past, but not gonna get picky at 8-1. I’ll stick with the trainer for a bit longer.

Race 4
$20 win #7 Cat Prado 5-1
$2 exbx 4-7
.50c tri 4,7/ALL/4,7
Lichoa. This time with a former Gotera horse.

Race 7
$20 win #7 Lady Alida 20-1
$2 DD 7/1,10
Another Lichoa, non Gotera Trained horse. But again, at 20-1 won’t split hairs. It is coming off a long layoff after a private sale, primarily running at Monmouth. So could be anything showing up first time Tampa.

Race 8
$20 win #1 Thru Street 10-1
$2 exbx 1-10
.50c tri 1,10/ALL/1,10
Ali does better second and third time and this one’s off a 9 month layoff BUT it won here last year off a 2 month layoff at 38-1. So I’ll ignore the negative Ali stats and hope the horse is a layoff specialist.

Good luck to all.

9-97, -$1804


#90

Misplayed the fvck out of that fourth race. 4 wins at 15/1, 7 doesn’t run a lick at 7-2. Take the longer odds, always. I’m a moron.


#91

Not that it’ll matter, but race 7 is incorrect above. Lady Alida is actually #8. Should read:

Race 7
$20 win #8 Lady Alida 20-1
$2 DD 8/1,10


#92

Sat 2/9/19

After another day of shoulda woulda couldas, today looks interesting. Locals vs the Big Names. Should be some opportunities:

Race 2
$20 win #3 Texas Dolly 15-1
$2 Exbx 3-5
.50c Tri 3,5/ALL/3,5
Raymond won yesterday at 15-1, comes back today with this one off a three month layoff. That’s been his specialty the last three years here. The other option is the Arboritanza horse(#5), but gotta side with the longer odds. A mistake I paid for yesterday.

I’ll be back for the sixth race.

9-101, -$1915


#93

Rest of my plays. Something needs to start clicking…

Race 6
$20 win #11 Barrell of Destiny 8-1
$2 Ex 11/ALL
$1 P3 11/ALL/8
Betthis one last out with the belief Granitz was a big improvement over Hertler. Got that part right but could only manage a tough trip third at 33-1. Hope the horse is still fit and gets ignored again.

Race 8
$20 win #8 My Bariley 15-1
Granitz again. Big step up but apparently likes the course and has some nice back class.

Race 12
$20 win #2 Croce D’Oro 10-1
$2 exbx 2-4
.50c Tri 2,4/ALL/2,4
Ali second time over the course is a strong ROI angle. He had a good looking horse yesterday but jock lost the irons early, losing all chance. Hoping the barn is ready to roll.

Hope someone is having better luck than me out there.


#94

Horse odds make me drool…

Keep up the good fight…!!!


#95

Sunday 2/10/19
Knocked $234 off the figure. Big one still eludes me…

Race 1
$20 win #4 Sweet Gelato 6-1
$2 Ex 4/ALL
The horses stabled here for Arboritanza haven’t done shit, so I guess he’s bringing in some fresh blood from Gulf. I’ll give him a shot in first over mode, since his other angles have been off this meet.

Race 5
$20 win #9 La Pichu 6-1
$2 Ex 9/ALL
$2 DD 9/1,3
$1 P3 9/1,3/ALL
In the last few weeks Ochoa has had a 71-1 winner DQ’d and a 24-1 shot miss by a head. Hoping that’s a sign that the barn is rounding into shape.

Race 6
$20 win #1 Bella Pierina 15-1
$2 exbx 1-3
$2 DD 1,3/11
.50c Tri 1,3/ALL/1,3
Minieri doesn’t win often but somehow sports positive ROI here the last three years. Majority of those long shot winners came in Allowance races like today’s. So we have a nuts and bolts claiming trainer that knows when to slip them in for a score. I’m in.

Race 7
$20 win #11 La Duquesa 8-1
Last chance for Lichoa. Thought he’d be a good follow but looks as if he starts too many horses for my liking. This one was recently moved to his barn by the owners after zero success with De La Cerda at Gulf. Beware these shifty Hispanic no name types.

10-105, $1681


#96

Two and a half months remain. Just wanted to do a quick recap on trainers I’ve followed, and what I’m looking for going forward. More for a quick reference for myself:

Ali: one small winner. Will keep an eye out for his second and third timers over the course.

Arboritanza: has a ton of positive angles coming in. Nothing’s worked to this point.

Bradley: Hasn’t shown up all meet. Running most at FG. Hope he shows up with a long layoff type.

Connelly: very sparse activity. Looking for her Dirt to Turfers.

Deaton: limited starts. Looking for his layoffs of 30 days or more.

Downing: nothing out of limited starts. Looking for turf routers and stretch outs.

Gonzales, Aldana: has a couple nice winners. She’s live in all scenarios when hot.

Gotera: most disappointing. Hasn’t run one horse after saving my meet last year.

Granitz: as solid as they come. Should’ve been playing him regardless of odds.

Lopez, Angel: limited action. Turf routers are way to go.

Lichoa: not my cup of tea but may back at big odds.

Minieri: limited action. Only play in Allowance races OR at huge odds.

Ochoa: I keep getting mad at him, but then realize he got DQ’d at 71-1 and just missed at 24-1. A little racing luck and him, and I, are having big meets.

Raymond: solid in the mold of Granitz, but has two $30 horses thus far. Fun fact, I missed them both. Long Layoffs the way to go.

Riggatieri: returning to his solid rep. Hard to get a price on the live ones. Maiden Claimers the way to go.

Sinkiewicz: having a good meet yet hasn’t scored with his bread and butter dirt routers.

Ubide: limited action. Turnbacks and short rest are way to go.

Vinson: mainly at Gulf. Long layoffs are a gold mine.

Wetherington, M: limited action. Watch for the long layoffs.

Jocks: Camacho and Gallardo tower over the colony. I predict Gallardo catches Camacho for the title. Morales, A.Santos, and SPIETH believe it or not are all growing on me.

Updated Record: 10-109, -$1831


#97

Wed 2/13/18

Card cut cut to shreds after rains. I bet these but who knows where the odds go?

Race 1
$20 win #4 Polygram 7/2
Raymond having his usual solid meet. I gotta start takingvwhat they’re giving on Raymond and Granitz. Price will likely suck with Camacho named, but any momentum I can get at this point is welcome.

Race 4
$20 win #2 Little Chick 15-1
Was excited about this one until field size was cut to 4 after scratches. We won’t get anywhere near the morning line, but maybe longest shot of the 4? Ali’s third over the course angle is strong.

Race 8
$20 win #9 Indy’s Quick Image 30-1
$2 exbx 9/ALL
Arboritanza third time over the course. Usually a solid angle but he’s having a woeful meet. I like that it comes off two speed/fade efforts in a row. Maybe the moisture carries it a little further?

Updated Record: 10-109, -$1831


#98

Keep the good fight…

His Mother was a MUDDA… His Dadda was a MUDDA…

You need that type of horse with all that rain… if you have ever watched Seinfeld you will know that gag from Krammer.


#99

Similar gag in the old Odd Couple. Loved both.


#100

Sun 2/17/19
Creeping closer to my cutoff limit of $2500. Gonna rely on my main man Scott Spieth to start the comeback:

Race 1
$20 win #1 Jersey Street 6-1
$2 Ex 1/ALL
$2 exbx 1-7
Horse has a win over the course this meet and Gonzalez has solid ROI in dirt sprints and third starts of meet and beyond.

More later…

10-116, -$2049