HOME PROMOTIONS FORUM RESOURCES
RULES ABOUT
     
 
 

Go Back   Sports Forum Picks > NCAA BASKETBALL

Reply
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
Old 03-11-2018, 10:38 AM   #1
Uncl3dunkl3
Certified Pimp
 
Uncl3dunkl3's Avatar
 
Join Date: Dec 2017
Posts: 108
Uncl3dunkl3 is on a distinguished road
Default Dunkle CBB 3/11/18

821 Davidson +2.5 vs Rhode Island
Davidson +120 vs Rhode Island


I think this line is actually insane because the wrong team is favored. While Rhode Island may be ranked 25th in the country, (this is actually very generous), Davidson is the better team. Davidson has two losses in their last 9 games. One away at St. Bonnies in a triple overtime game which could have went either way, and a road loss to Rhode Island who they revenged a few weeks after at home. Talking just ATS the spread numbers alone Davidson has covered its last 3, 5 of 6 and 9 of its last 12 games. This team has been playing far better than the market's expectation and is proving it in the conference tournament thus far. Rhode Island after cruising through the conference for most of the year, came back to earth in it's last 5 regular season games dropping three of five and almost a fourth by just squeaking out an overtime win against La Salle. Rhode Island is 2-5 ATS in last 7, so clearly this team is playing below market expectation. Normally, I'd like to target a team like Rhode Island in this spot to play a reverse trend colliding here, but the market has not adjusted one bit. Actually, it's even more in favor of Rhode Island, since it's the conference tournament and people love betting favorites. Rhode Island was talked about all year as the best team in the Atlantic 10, but certainly dropped off down the stretch. On the opposite side, Davidson has been so efficient on offense down the stretch, and I like them to continue their hot play en route to the A10 championship.

UT Arlington +2 vs Georgia State
UT Arlington +108 vs Georgia State


Here we have a similar scenario to the above, just not as drastic. This line should be a pickem, but we are getting 2 freebies, and a generous money line bet. Georgia State finished the regular season losing 4 of 6 games despite being favored in three of those losses. They had a comfortable run to this point in the torunament, but I think are running into the wrong team here. UT Arlington is the most experienced team in the country as per KenPom, and in a conference final, isn't this what you're looking for? UT just beat the class of this conference yesterday wiping out Lafayette, and now draws a much easier opponent in Georgia State. UT is winners of 5 straight and 4-1 ATS during this time. Again, typically I like to fade these trends, but the market has not adjusted to their better play. In fact, we have another situation where it's gone in reverse. UT's defense has looked much improved thus far in the conference tournament and couple this with their fast play and efficient scoring, I like them to come out as the Sun Belt Champs against Georgia State in this one.
__________________
Luck has a way of working against the people who depend on it.

uncl3dunkl3

Last edited by Uncl3dunkl3; 03-11-2018 at 10:57 AM.
Uncl3dunkl3 is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 03-11-2018, 11:18 AM   #2
RichieVegas23
Full Fledged Degenerate
 
Join Date: Dec 2015
Location: New York
Posts: 3,477
RichieVegas23 is on a distinguished road
Default Re: Dunkle CBB 3/11/18

GL!
RichieVegas23 is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 03-11-2018, 02:29 PM   #3
ozzie
BAD MOTHER FUCKER
The Boss
 
ozzie's Avatar
 
Join Date: Feb 2005
Location: WITH MY CHICK
Posts: 37,086
ozzie is on a distinguished road
Default Re: Dunkle CBB 3/11/18

get em dunkle
__________________
Facts For Life

IF YOU NEED ANYTHING OZZIESMAIL@ZOOMINTERNET.NET


Click here to sign up at Bookmaker.

Use Bonus code: FACTSMAN

US CITIZENS PLEASE NOTE: The information contained at this site is for news and entertainment purposes only. Any use of this information in violation of any federal, state or local law is prohibited.


We do not quit playing because we grow old, we grow old because we quit playing
ozzie is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 03-11-2018, 06:35 PM   #4
sportsguy
The Boss
 
sportsguy's Avatar
 
Join Date: Apr 2006
Posts: 8,421
sportsguy is on a distinguished road
Default Re: Dunkle CBB 3/11/18

Good call on Davidson...
__________________
Winning Is the aim
Make some coin. Good luck to all.
sportsguy is offline   Reply With Quote
Reply

Thread Tools
Display Modes

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off

Forum Jump

© 2009 SportsForumPicks.com • All Rights Reserved  |  For technical assistance, contact Joe@Factsman.com

US CITIZENS PLEASE NOTE: The information contained on this website is for news and entertainment purposes only. Any use of this information in violation of federal, state or local laws is prohibited.

Powered by vBulletin
Copyright © 2000-2010 Jelsoft Enterprises Limited.


All times are GMT -3. The time now is 01:40 PM.

     

Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.4
Copyright ©2000 - 2018, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.
COPYRIGHT Sportforumpicks.com 2009