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Old 01-11-2018, 04:41 PM   #1
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Default Dunkle's CBB Action 1/11/18

Really like a game in the Southern Conference between two unspectacular teams. In a clash of the Bulldogs vs the Bulldogs, The Citadel hosts Samford.

Samford heads over to South Carolina to face the Citadel in a matchup of public unknowns. I tend to love targeting games like this because while all standard bets pay the same, not all standard bets created are equal. Sportsbooks ensure that they are as accurate as possible on all media publicized games and even all Power 5 conference games for CBB, but teams like this can find ways to squeak through the cracks. This line is a great example of just that. Let me start by saying, I love CBB teams that come home after an awful road trip. While Citadel was only on a two game split from the home office, they actually have not played at home since the end of 2017. They will enjoy coming back home.

The Citadel rides a four game losing streak, but three games were on the road and the one home game mentioned above against Western Carolina. This is a good spot for them to bounce back against a low quality team in their own palace.

As for Samford, they have yet to win a road game this season, and they are playing this road game after a three game home stretch. Samford is coming off a nice win at home vs WCU in which they shot over 50% of beyond the arc, over 54% from the field. These numbers are far higher than their season averages. Samford played well in that game, but it was at home. While The Citadel plays at a fast pace which will lead to more scoring for Samford, those shooting numbers for Samford will likely regress to the mean on the road tonight.

While plenty of numbers may key on The Citadel being out matched in this spot, but the situation itself favors The Citadel. I like them to hang in throughout and ride the home crowd down the stretch. May even pull the upset here.

Give me The Citadel +3.5 Bones.
Luck has a way of working against the people who depend on it.

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Old 01-11-2018, 06:50 PM   #2
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Default Re: Dunkle's CBB Action 1/11/18

Hope u collect those bones.
If ya do?
Do me a favor hit that DAD of yours over the head with it..

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Old 01-11-2018, 07:15 PM   #3
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Default Re: Dunkle's CBB Action 1/11/18

bol today

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