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Old 04-22-2018, 01:38 PM   #1
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Miami/Milwaukee over 5 -120:
This will be our first official play of the season barring another pitching change that cancelled our opening play a few nights ago. Milwaukee (13-9) has won 5 straight and looks for a 4 game series sweep of Miami (5-15), losers of 6 of their last 7 entering Sunday's action with the second worst record in the NL. Last night, Jesus Aguliar's walk-off solo HR helped edge Miami 6-5 as the Brew Crew rallied from a 4 run second inning deficit. The 27 year old from Venezuela took loser Junichi Tazawa (0-1) deep on the 13th pitch he saw, making a winner out of Jeffrey Jeffress (2-0) who pitched a perfect 9th inning. Travis Shaw also hit a solo HR and scored 3 runs while Eric Sogard's bloop pop up double was misjudged in the Marlins infield allowing the tying run to score in the 8th, one of two runs driven in. Lewis Brinson belted a 3 run HR in the second inning that gave Miami a 4-0 lead but Jose Urena tired in the middle innings allowing 4 runs on 4 hits through 5. Brent Suter also left with a no-decision giving up 5 runs on 8 hits through 5.

Junior Guerra (1-0 0.82) makes his 3rd start for the Brew Crew and has pitched very well since being called up from AAA Colorado Springs earning a spot in the rotation. He's allowed just 1 run on 5 hits through 11 IP thus far, with 5 walks and 11 K's recorded. Last season he split his time as starter and long reliever but was 1-4 with a 5.21 ERA through 21 appearances. He faces a Marlins lineup struggling all season averaging just 3.4 runs per contest and hitting a paltry .225 overall. Starlin Castro (.300 0 7) is hitting .333 over the last week but has seen happier days with the Yankees after being part of the off-season trade that saw Giancarlo Stanton leaving the fish. Justin Bour (.225 4 11) is off to a slow start despite the team lead in HR and tied in RBI with Brian Anderson (.254 1 11). Anderson started off promising but has just 5 hits in his last 27 AB's (.185). Brinson (.157 3 7) got a morale boost after clubbing a 3 run HR yesterday, but has struck out 26 times already in just 70 AB's. The 23-year-old has upside with his power and speed, but as yet his hitting skills don't seem to have caught up with his athleticism. Miguel Rojas (.256 2 4) went through a nice .350 stretch last week but is now hitless over his last 11 plate appearances. The struggles also continue for Cameron Maybin (.214 0 3) who appears to be losing ground in favor today of up and coming JB Shuck (.292) who a few weeks back collected 4 hits in his season debut called up from AAA New Orleans.

Miami counters with Caleb Smith (0-2 6.89) who could be pitching today to save his starting job. The 26 year old southpaw sophomore has been lit up all season and got shelled against his former Yankee mates surrendering 5 runs in just 2 1/3 resulted in a 12-1 loss. He made 9 appearances for the Yanks last season including just 2 starts going 0-1 with a 7.71 ERA. He faces a Brewers lineup batting just .249 averaging a shade over 4 runs per contest. However their 27 HR is second behind St Louis and Colorado in the NL. Travis Shaw (.296 4 10) has provided quite a punch at the top of the lineup and has hit safely in 5 of his last 6 games (.412). Lorenzo Cain (.301 2 7) leads Milwaukee in batting and has also hit safely in 5 of 6 (.389). Eric Thames (.254 7 13) leads the team in long balls and has a 5 game hitting streak (.357) but is likely to have the day off this afternoon with Aguliar (.419 1 4) doing plenty of damage thus far through his first 30 at-bats. Ryan Braun (.234 5 14) has hit safely in 4 straight (.384) including 2 HR and just recently eclipsed the 1,000 RBI mark in his career going strong in his 13th season. Christian Yelich (.342 1 6) is slowly recovering from an oblique injury and hopes to return to the form that saw him slug 40 HR over the past 2 seasons and a .290 mark.

We get a high price this afternoon at Miller Park where the confines are rather friendly to the hitters especially dead center and down the lines. Smith may once again have trouble producing a much needed quality outing which could give Mattingly the decision to move him to the bullpen. Guerra has been sharp all season, and continues to mow down the opposition. The young fish have at times shown signs of escaping their doldrums at the plate, but guys like Maybin and Brinson are going to have to step up if the Marlins want to avoid the sweep. Best of luck however you play!
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Old 04-22-2018, 01:45 PM   #2
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I like it - let's do it!!!!

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